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OCBC SME Index Q4 2025

"Productivity gains through AI and digital transformation can also help SMEs manage rising costs."

Publisher

OCBC Bank Singapore

Published

January 2026

50.8

OCBC SME Index Q4 2025 — back to expansion territory

§ 01 — Methodology

How the report was conducted.

Quarterly survey of 1,000 SG SME owners. Index reading combines payment behaviour, expectation surveys, and trade-payment data from OCBC business accounts.

§ 02 — Verbatim quote (no paraphrase)

"The OCBC SME Index rose to 50.8 in 4Q 2025, remaining in expansion territory… Productivity gains through AI and digital transformation can also help SMEs manage rising costs."

— OCBC, SME Index Q4 2025

§ 03 — What the report actually says

Breakdown by what we cite

Datapoint Reading
Building & Construction Resilient — index 50.0
Retail Resilient — index 50.2
Education Index 49.6 (slight contraction)
Healthcare Index 49.8 (slight contraction)
Transport & Logistics Index 49.5

§ 04 — Additional findings

Context we don't cite directly but relied on.

§ 05 — Why this matters for your business

The application.

When Singapore's second-largest bank publicly prescribes AI + digital transformation as the answer to wage compression, it removes the "is this hype?" objection. Our playbook operationalises exactly what OCBC recommends — the 12 templates are how SG SMEs actually capture those productivity gains.

§ 06 — Read the original

Two ways to verify.

We don't paraphrase. The original report is publicly available — download our archived copy below, or visit the publisher directly.

Our archived PDF

Download report

263 KB · always available · opens in new tab

Publisher website

OCBC SME Index page

URLs may move · canonical title: "OCBC SME Index Q4 2025"

We archive every cited PDF locally so the link never breaks. You can download our copy above, or grab the latest version directly from the publisher's site.

§ 07 — Explore other sources

The other 3 reports we cite.

Each linked from every landing page. Same depth treatment as this one.

View all 4 sources at /sources →

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