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"Productivity gains through AI and digital transformation can also help SMEs manage rising costs."
Publisher
OCBC Bank Singapore
Published
January 2026
OCBC SME Index Q4 2025 — back to expansion territory
§ 01 — Methodology
Quarterly survey of 1,000 SG SME owners. Index reading combines payment behaviour, expectation surveys, and trade-payment data from OCBC business accounts.
§ 02 — Verbatim quote (no paraphrase)
"The OCBC SME Index rose to 50.8 in 4Q 2025, remaining in expansion territory… Productivity gains through AI and digital transformation can also help SMEs manage rising costs."
— OCBC, SME Index Q4 2025
§ 03 — What the report actually says
| Datapoint | Reading |
|---|---|
| Building & Construction | Resilient — index 50.0 |
| Retail | Resilient — index 50.2 |
| Education | Index 49.6 (slight contraction) |
| Healthcare | Index 49.8 (slight contraction) |
| Transport & Logistics | Index 49.5 |
§ 04 — Additional findings
§ 05 — Why this matters for your business
When Singapore's second-largest bank publicly prescribes AI + digital transformation as the answer to wage compression, it removes the "is this hype?" objection. Our playbook operationalises exactly what OCBC recommends — the 12 templates are how SG SMEs actually capture those productivity gains.
§ 06 — Read the original
We don't paraphrase. The original report is publicly available — download our archived copy below, or visit the publisher directly.
We archive every cited PDF locally so the link never breaks. You can download our copy above, or grab the latest version directly from the publisher's site.
§ 07 — Explore other sources
Each linked from every landing page. Same depth treatment as this one.
OCBC SME Index Q1 2025
Read this sourceOECD D4SME Survey 2025
Read this sourceEnterpriseSG Annual Report FY2024–25
Read this source§ Take 30 minutes
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